Understanding the environmental impacts of displacing UK agricultural/commodity production

Title

Understanding the environmental impacts of displacing UK agricultural/commodity production

Stage

tenderUpdate

Buyer

JNCC SUPPORT CO

Buyer id

GB-COH-05380206

Status

active

Category

services

CPV

not on file

CPV in words

not on file

Estimated value

275000

Currency

GBP

Released

2026-09-22T09:12:15+01:00

Tenders close

2026-10-13T09:00:00+01:00

Contract starts

not on file

Contract ends

not on file

Procedure

Open procedure

Description

There is increasing pressure on land use in the UK due to demands from housing development and commitments to Net Zero and nature. This, combined with a changing climate, mean there may be less land available for agricultural commodity production within the UK. This may result in a displacement of production overseas. While there is good evidence on the carbon, biodiversity and other environmental impacts that any given land use change will bring in situ, there is currently no established method of identifying 1) where crops are likely to be grown instead and 2) what impacts this displaced crop growth may have. A way to estimate these could provide evidence that would help guide land use decisions and policy by providing a holistic understanding of both the domestic and international implications of these decisions. Project Aims 1. To produce an initial interim model that estimates where production would be displaced if a given area of land in the UK, producing a set quantity of a commodity, was no longer used for commodity production. The model will be based on clear and transparent assumptions. 2. To estimate the environmental impacts of production in these new locations. The calculated environmental impacts will ideally map onto those included in the Global Environmental Impacts of Consumption (GEIC) indicator.

Open Contracting ID

ocds-h6vhtk-06f1a4

• JNCC SUPPORT CO (company), by buyer id · uk companies house, read 2026-10-04

Cite as

Find a Tender (UK above-threshold notices) (UK Cabinet Office, Find a Tender Service), pages.json, sha256 3fa091d38652, published 2026-10-04

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